TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zheng Nan Huang and Cuihaozhe Guo in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zheng Nan Huang' if Zheng Nan Huang advances against Cuihaozhe Guo. This market will resolve to 'Cuihaozhe Guo' if Cuihaozhe Guo advances against Zheng Nan Huang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zheng Nan Huang and Cuihaozhe Guo in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zheng Nan Huang' if Zheng Nan Huang advances against Cuihaozhe Guo. This market will resolve to 'Cuihaozhe Guo' if Cuihaozhe Guo advances against Zheng Nan Huang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Shenzhen Zheng vs. Guo match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe Zheng will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen Zheng vs. Guo match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or any controversies surrounding the match could also cause significant price movements. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help anticipate potential shifts in this market.