TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Xia and Xinyuan Xie in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Xinyuan Xie. This market will resolve to 'Xinyuan Xie' if Xinyuan Xie advances against Yue Xia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Xia and Xinyuan Xie in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Xinyuan Xie. This market will resolve to 'Xinyuan Xie' if Xinyuan Xie advances against Yue Xia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. If sportsbook odds significantly deviate from those seen here, it could indicate a potential mispricing or a different assessment of the players' probabilities. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome of the Yue Xia vs Xinyuan Xie match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the market price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Polymarket regarding the Yue Xia vs Xinyuan Xie match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yue Xia vs Xinyuan Xie match as reported by the governing body. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome will be considered the winner and trigger the payout of shares. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or strategic adjustments could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or external factors impacting player performance may also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate informed activity and trigger price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s assessment of the Yue Xia vs Xinyuan Xie match.