TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 5:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Xia and Boris Butulija in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Boris Butulija. This market will resolve to 'Boris Butulija' if Boris Butulija advances against Yue Xia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yue Xia and Boris Butulija in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Boris Butulija. This market will resolve to 'Boris Butulija' if Boris Butulija advances against Yue Xia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change based on new information and evolving sentiment. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to breaking news.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen tennis match between Yue Xia and Boris Butulija. This means the platform will look to established tennis authorities and official match results to determine the winner and settle the market. The process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, reflecting the actual result of the competition.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts could drive trading activity. Even seemingly minor developments, such as weather forecasts affecting court conditions, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.