TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between You Du and Tong Liu in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'You Du' if You Du advances against Tong Liu. This market will resolve to 'Tong Liu' if Tong Liu advances against You Du. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between You Du and Tong Liu in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'You Du' if You Du advances against Tong Liu. This market will resolve to 'Tong Liu' if Tong Liu advances against You Du. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price can fluctuate rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment, offering opportunities for informed traders to profit from mispricings. The current volume suggests active participation in determining the outcome of the You Du vs Tong Liu match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the You Du vs Tong Liu match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could influence trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators and experts could also shift perceptions of each player's chances of winning. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations, especially if they signal a strong conviction about a particular outcome. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market movements.