TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 12:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between You Du and Shanghui Li in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'You Du' if You Du advances against Shanghui Li. This market will resolve to 'Shanghui Li' if Shanghui Li advances against You Du. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between You Du and Shanghui Li in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'You Du' if You Du advances against Shanghui Li. This market will resolve to 'Shanghui Li' if Shanghui Li advances against You Du. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest and information available. However, differences can arise due to varying levels of information and differing motivations among bettors in this market versus sportsbook customers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen You Du vs Shanghui Li match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team strategies, or changes in coaching could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also impact trading volume and prices. Furthermore, general public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams and players involved can all contribute to movements in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.