TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyuan Xie and Jay Lin Gibson in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinyuan Xie' if Xinyuan Xie advances against Jay Lin Gibson. This market will resolve to 'Jay Lin Gibson' if Jay Lin Gibson advances against Xinyuan Xie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyuan Xie and Jay Lin Gibson in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinyuan Xie' if Xinyuan Xie advances against Jay Lin Gibson. This market will resolve to 'Jay Lin Gibson' if Jay Lin Gibson advances against Xinyuan Xie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and represents their collective forecast for who will win the Shenzhen tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Shenzhen tennis match between Xinyuan Xie and Jay Lin Gibson will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers. This market will settle to 100% for the winning player and 0% for the losing player, reflecting the definitive result of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift traders’ perceptions of each player’s chances of winning. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also cause significant movement. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly, impacting the price of shares in this market.