TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Weiyi Kong and Linang Xiao in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Weiyi Kong' if Weiyi Kong advances against Linang Xiao. This market will resolve to 'Linang Xiao' if Linang Xiao advances against Weiyi Kong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Weiyi Kong and Linang Xiao in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Weiyi Kong' if Weiyi Kong advances against Linang Xiao. This market will resolve to 'Linang Xiao' if Linang Xiao advances against Weiyi Kong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and may incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the probability of each player winning. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants influencing the price. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a different perspective than fixed sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Shenzhen tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their positions based on news, analysis, and their own assessment of the players’ chances, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current market reflects the collective intelligence of those participating.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Weiyi Kong versus Linang Xiao tennis match in Shenzhen. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament results and sports news outlets, to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be eligible for payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence the market price, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities as the match approaches and unfolds.