TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladimir Osminkin and Daniil Savelev in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Osminkin' if Vladimir Osminkin advances against Daniil Savelev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Savelev' if Daniil Savelev advances against Vladimir Osminkin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladimir Osminkin and Daniil Savelev in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Osminkin' if Vladimir Osminkin advances against Daniil Savelev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Savelev' if Daniil Savelev advances against Vladimir Osminkin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous, decentralized exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price discovery process incorporates information from various sources, and the dynamic interaction between buyers and sellers determines the overall odds. This creates a fluid and responsive market reflecting collective predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen tennis match between Vladimir Osminkin and Daniil Savelev. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting from reputable sports news sources. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the victor of the match, as documented by the governing tennis authorities. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause price movements. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could also sway trader opinions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move this market.