TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tonghan Gu and Xiuyuan Guo in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tonghan Gu' if Tonghan Gu advances against Xiuyuan Guo. This market will resolve to 'Xiuyuan Guo' if Xiuyuan Guo advances against Tonghan Gu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tonghan Gu and Xiuyuan Guo in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tonghan Gu' if Tonghan Gu advances against Xiuyuan Guo. This market will resolve to 'Xiuyuan Guo' if Xiuyuan Guo advances against Tonghan Gu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As traders exchange shares, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform’s design encourages efficient price discovery, as traders are motivated to express their informed opinions and capitalize on any perceived mispricing. This dynamic process results in a constantly updated probability forecast for the Tonghan Gu vs Xiuyuan Guo match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tonghan Gu vs Xiuyuan Guo match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled. It’s important to note that the platform relies on publicly available information for resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or any controversies surrounding the match could also lead to significant shifts in the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price fluctuations.