TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 1:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Timofei Derepasko and Linang Xiao in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Linang Xiao. This market will resolve to 'Linang Xiao' if Linang Xiao advances against Timofei Derepasko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Timofei Derepasko and Linang Xiao in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Linang Xiao. This market will resolve to 'Linang Xiao' if Linang Xiao advances against Timofei Derepasko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Derepasko vs Xiao match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates the market's collective expectation for the match's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Shenzhen: Timofei Derepasko vs Linang Xiao match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. This process ensures a fair and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match scheduling, or updates on player form could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, broader trends in the players’ recent performance or public opinion regarding their chances of winning could all contribute to shifts in the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before the Derepasko vs Xiao match concludes.