TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 6:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Timofei Derepasko and Kristjan Tamm in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Kristjan Tamm. This market will resolve to 'Kristjan Tamm' if Kristjan Tamm advances against Timofei Derepasko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Timofei Derepasko and Kristjan Tamm in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Kristjan Tamm. This market will resolve to 'Kristjan Tamm' if Kristjan Tamm advances against Timofei Derepasko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. If sportsbooks heavily favor one player, we might see a different probability distribution here, potentially indicating disagreement with the sportsbook's assessment. It's common to observe discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Shenzhen match between Timofei Derepasko and Kristjan Tamm. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official announcements and results as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player matchups might also trigger price movements. Furthermore, broader trends in the sport or shifts in public opinion could impact trader sentiment. Monitoring news sources and staying informed about any developments related to the Derepasko vs Tamm match is crucial for understanding potential market fluctuations.