TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shaoyun Liu and David Tsay in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shaoyun Liu' if Shaoyun Liu advances against David Tsay. This market will resolve to 'David Tsay' if David Tsay advances against Shaoyun Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shaoyun Liu and David Tsay in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shaoyun Liu' if Shaoyun Liu advances against David Tsay. This market will resolve to 'David Tsay' if David Tsay advances against Shaoyun Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a growing belief in that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available and opinions evolve. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shaoyun Liu vs David Tsay match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event's progress and the eventual resolution of this market.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment and shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player form or any controversies surrounding either Shaoyun Liu or David Tsay would likely cause significant movement. Public opinion, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, influencing traders to adjust their positions based on perceived momentum or changing expectations.