TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 3:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shao Zhang and Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shao Zhang' if Shao Zhang advances against Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul. This market will resolve to 'Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul' if Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul advances against Shao Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shao Zhang and Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shao Zhang' if Shao Zhang advances against Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul. This market will resolve to 'Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul' if Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul advances against Shao Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, but it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current trading volume suggests considerable interest in this match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen tennis match between Shao Zhang and Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 28, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public perception could all impact the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also cause traders to adjust their positions. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to drive movement in this market, leading to price fluctuations and increased volume.