TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mikalai Haliak and Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mikalai Haliak' if Mikalai Haliak advances against Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng. This market will resolve to 'Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng' if Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng advances against Mikalai Haliak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mikalai Haliak and Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mikalai Haliak' if Mikalai Haliak advances against Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng. This market will resolve to 'Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng' if Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng advances against Mikalai Haliak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals' independent assessments of the players' skills and potential performance. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. Comparing these odds can provide valuable insights into the perceived probabilities from different perspectives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares adjusts accordingly, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand, with traders setting the odds based on their own research and analysis of the match between Mikalai Haliak and Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen tennis match between Mikalai Haliak and Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and the corresponding shares will be settled accordingly. The outcome will be determined by the official score and result as published by the tournament organizers, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the Oct 27, 2026 resolution date. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could all impact traders' assessments of the players' chances of winning. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, any significant analysis or predictions from tennis experts could sway market opinion. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probabilities of either Mikalai Haliak or Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng winning the match has the potential to move this market.