TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 3:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Linang Xiao and Boris Butulija in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linang Xiao' if Linang Xiao advances against Boris Butulija. This market will resolve to 'Boris Butulija' if Boris Butulija advances against Linang Xiao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Linang Xiao and Boris Butulija in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linang Xiao' if Linang Xiao advances against Boris Butulija. This market will resolve to 'Boris Butulija' if Boris Butulija advances against Linang Xiao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert analysis, prediction markets can quickly adjust to new information and potentially offer a more accurate assessment of the true probabilities, especially as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Linang Xiao vs Boris Butulija match as reported by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly impact trader sentiment. Public announcements about the players' physical condition or tactical approaches are likely to be closely watched. Additionally, major shifts in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks could also influence activity, as traders may attempt to capitalize on perceived discrepancies. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning could move this market.