TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 1:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lin Hao-Yu and Filip Peliwo in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lin Hao-Yu' if Lin Hao-Yu advances against Filip Peliwo. This market will resolve to 'Filip Peliwo' if Filip Peliwo advances against Lin Hao-Yu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lin Hao-Yu and Filip Peliwo in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lin Hao-Yu' if Lin Hao-Yu advances against Filip Peliwo. This market will resolve to 'Filip Peliwo' if Filip Peliwo advances against Lin Hao-Yu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely trading and expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume enters the market. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a different type of forecast.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Lin Hao-Yu vs Filip Peliwo match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lin Hao-Yu vs Filip Peliwo match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also affect trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed bettors could create noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding how this market evolves before it resolves.