TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lin Hao-Yu and Corban Crowther in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lin Hao-Yu' if Lin Hao-Yu advances against Corban Crowther. This market will resolve to 'Corban Crowther' if Corban Crowther advances against Lin Hao-Yu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lin Hao-Yu and Corban Crowther in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lin Hao-Yu' if Lin Hao-Yu advances against Corban Crowther. This market will resolve to 'Corban Crowther' if Corban Crowther advances against Lin Hao-Yu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that traders have information or a different assessment not yet fully priced into the sportsbook lines. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Lin Hao-Yu vs Corban Crowther match. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares is determined by supply and demand, with traders effectively betting against each other. This creates a dynamic market where the odds constantly adjust based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lin Hao-Yu vs Corban Crowther match as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Lin Hao-Yu or Corban Crowther could cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or the referee could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could temporarily move the price, but ultimately the market will reflect the collective assessment of the likely winner as the event draws closer.