TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between LIANGXUAN LIU and Yaoyu Yang in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'LIANGXUAN LIU' if LIANGXUAN LIU advances against Yaoyu Yang. This market will resolve to 'Yaoyu Yang' if Yaoyu Yang advances against LIANGXUAN LIU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between LIANGXUAN LIU and Yaoyu Yang in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'LIANGXUAN LIU' if LIANGXUAN LIU advances against Yaoyu Yang. This market will resolve to 'Yaoyu Yang' if Yaoyu Yang advances against LIANGXUAN LIU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and represents the collective forecast of all participants regarding the Liu vs. Yang match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Shenzhen match between LIANGXUAN LIU and Yaoyu Yang. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either LIANGXUAN LIU or Yaoyu Yang could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also impact the market. Furthermore, broader trends in the competitive scene or public perception of each player's chances could drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the event.