TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 6:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kezhi Li and Shanghui Li in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kezhi Li' if Kezhi Li advances against Shanghui Li. This market will resolve to 'Shanghui Li' if Shanghui Li advances against Kezhi Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kezhi Li and Shanghui Li in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kezhi Li' if Kezhi Li advances against Shanghui Li. This market will resolve to 'Shanghui Li' if Shanghui Li advances against Kezhi Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Kezhi Li vs Shanghui Li match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kezhi Li vs Shanghui Li match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the probability assigned to each possible result by the traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the market price adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. This dynamic pricing system allows for a fluid and responsive market, driven entirely by user activity.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kezhi Li vs Shanghui Li match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of this contest. The resolution process is designed to be objective and reliable.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches for either Kezhi Li or Shanghui Li could significantly shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and social media, can also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or broader trends in the sport could impact trader confidence and lead to price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the match itself will likely be the biggest catalysts for movement.