TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jorge Jorge and Man Lok Yang in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jorge Jorge' if Jorge Jorge advances against Man Lok Yang. This market will resolve to 'Man Lok Yang' if Man Lok Yang advances against Jorge Jorge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jorge Jorge and Man Lok Yang in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jorge Jorge' if Jorge Jorge advances against Man Lok Yang. This market will resolve to 'Man Lok Yang' if Man Lok Yang advances against Jorge Jorge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds are not predetermined but rather emerge from the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Shenzhen match between Jorge Jorge and Man Lok Yang. Any official announcements or results released by the governing body of the event will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding the fighters’ training status, any reported injuries, or changes in their pre-match strategies could all have a significant impact. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also drive trading decisions. Unexpected announcements related to the event's logistics or venue could also cause fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the fighters’ relative strengths and weaknesses has the potential to move this market.