TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jordan Chiu and Aidan Biyan in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Chiu' if Jordan Chiu advances against Aidan Biyan. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Biyan' if Aidan Biyan advances against Jordan Chiu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jordan Chiu and Aidan Biyan in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jordan Chiu' if Jordan Chiu advances against Aidan Biyan. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Biyan' if Aidan Biyan advances against Jordan Chiu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the market price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and evolving expectations regarding the Shenzhen Challenger match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen Challenger match between Jordan Chiu and Aidan Biyan, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of the competition.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the Shenzhen Challenger could also impact expectations. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tennis events might influence overall perceptions of player capabilities. Real-time updates on match statistics, such as ace counts or unforced errors, could also trigger price movements as traders react to the unfolding competition.