TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emmanuel Valsamis and Lin Hao-Yu in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emmanuel Valsamis' if Emmanuel Valsamis advances against Lin Hao-Yu. This market will resolve to 'Lin Hao-Yu' if Lin Hao-Yu advances against Emmanuel Valsamis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Emmanuel Valsamis and Lin Hao-Yu in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emmanuel Valsamis' if Emmanuel Valsamis advances against Lin Hao-Yu. This market will resolve to 'Lin Hao-Yu' if Lin Hao-Yu advances against Emmanuel Valsamis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the probability of a particular player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match's potential results, driven entirely by the collective predictions of market participants. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen tennis match between Emmanuel Valsamis and Lin Hao-Yu. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and sources to determine the final payout for shares held in the market. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual outcome of the sporting event.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews from reputable tennis analysts could influence trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in public sentiment, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves leading up to Oct 26, 2026.