TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Artem Markelov and Diego Gilbert Rivas in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Artem Markelov' if Artem Markelov advances against Diego Gilbert Rivas. This market will resolve to 'Diego Gilbert Rivas' if Diego Gilbert Rivas advances against Artem Markelov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Artem Markelov and Diego Gilbert Rivas in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Artem Markelov' if Artem Markelov advances against Diego Gilbert Rivas. This market will resolve to 'Diego Gilbert Rivas' if Diego Gilbert Rivas advances against Artem Markelov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who buy shares in a particular outcome, the higher its price becomes, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the Shenzhen tennis match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen tennis match between Artem Markelov and Diego Gilbert Rivas, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match winner and finalize the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about either Artem Markelov or Diego Gilbert Rivas’s fitness levels, or even weather forecasts for Shenzhen, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Shenzhen tennis match is likely to move this market.