TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Arkhip Kozlov and Lleyton Richards in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arkhip Kozlov' if Arkhip Kozlov advances against Lleyton Richards. This market will resolve to 'Lleyton Richards' if Lleyton Richards advances against Arkhip Kozlov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arkhip Kozlov and Lleyton Richards in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arkhip Kozlov' if Arkhip Kozlov advances against Lleyton Richards. This market will resolve to 'Lleyton Richards' if Lleyton Richards advances against Arkhip Kozlov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kozlov vs Richards match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the match's potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kozlov vs Richards match as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from reputable sources could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price movements.