TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zian Vanderstappen and Sofyan Elnaqa in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zian Vanderstappen' if Zian Vanderstappen advances against Sofyan Elnaqa. This market will resolve to 'Sofyan Elnaqa' if Sofyan Elnaqa advances against Zian Vanderstappen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zian Vanderstappen and Sofyan Elnaqa in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zian Vanderstappen' if Zian Vanderstappen advances against Sofyan Elnaqa. This market will resolve to 'Sofyan Elnaqa' if Sofyan Elnaqa advances against Zian Vanderstappen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market aims to reflect the true probability as assessed by traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, and the influence of public opinion. If significant differences exist, it may suggest that the market believes a sportsbook is mispricing the event, or vice versa. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match, as declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official match result, ensuring a fair and transparent process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Zian Vanderstappen or Sofyan Elnaqa could also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders or large volume purchases could indicate a change in perceived probabilities, leading to price adjustments in this market. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.