TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 7:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yurii Dzhavakian and Aaron Funk in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yurii Dzhavakian' if Yurii Dzhavakian advances against Aaron Funk. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Funk' if Aaron Funk advances against Yurii Dzhavakian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yurii Dzhavakian and Aaron Funk in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yurii Dzhavakian' if Yurii Dzhavakian advances against Aaron Funk. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Funk' if Aaron Funk advances against Yurii Dzhavakian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of market participation. If significant differences exist between this market and sportsbook odds, it may signal an opportunity for informed traders to exploit mispricings, though it’s important to consider the volume traded on each.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match's likely result, based on available information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Yurii Dzhavakian and Aaron Funk. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also cause movement. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants or shifts in broader tennis betting markets could impact pricing. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is key to understanding potential market movements.