TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 9:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Volodymyr Iakubenko and Marat Salbiev in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Volodymyr Iakubenko' if Volodymyr Iakubenko advances against Marat Salbiev. This market will resolve to 'Marat Salbiev' if Marat Salbiev advances against Volodymyr Iakubenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Volodymyr Iakubenko and Marat Salbiev in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Volodymyr Iakubenko' if Volodymyr Iakubenko advances against Marat Salbiev. This market will resolve to 'Marat Salbiev' if Marat Salbiev advances against Volodymyr Iakubenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing and house edge into their odds, while this market is driven purely by trader predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into where the crowd believes the value lies, and whether there's an opportunity to exploit mispricings relative to external expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Volodymyr Iakubenko and Marat Salbiev. Any official results or announcements from the governing body of the competition will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding the fighters' training, health status, or any potential injuries could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about changes to the match schedule or location might also cause movement. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions could impact trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in conviction among participants.