TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 1:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tudor Batin and Nicola Senn in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tudor Batin' if Tudor Batin advances against Nicola Senn. This market will resolve to 'Nicola Senn' if Nicola Senn advances against Tudor Batin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tudor Batin and Nicola Senn in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tudor Batin' if Tudor Batin advances against Nicola Senn. This market will resolve to 'Nicola Senn' if Nicola Senn advances against Tudor Batin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessments, while this market relies on the aggregated predictions of individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' strengths and weaknesses. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tudor Batin versus Nicola Senn match in Sharm ElSheikh. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader tennis betting markets could trigger price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market and anticipating potential changes in the odds for the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.