TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 6:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tudor Batin and Ivan Gretskiy in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tudor Batin' if Tudor Batin advances against Ivan Gretskiy. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Gretskiy' if Ivan Gretskiy advances against Tudor Batin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tudor Batin and Ivan Gretskiy in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tudor Batin' if Tudor Batin advances against Ivan Gretskiy. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Gretskiy' if Ivan Gretskiy advances against Tudor Batin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' chances. It's common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that player's victory will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match's likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Tudor Batin and Ivan Gretskiy, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be addressed based on established procedures and available evidence.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could impact the volume and direction of trading in this market as traders react to new information.