TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Lanik and Vasyl Makarenko in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Lanik' if Tomas Lanik advances against Vasyl Makarenko. This market will resolve to 'Vasyl Makarenko' if Vasyl Makarenko advances against Tomas Lanik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Lanik and Vasyl Makarenko in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Lanik' if Tomas Lanik advances against Vasyl Makarenko. This market will resolve to 'Vasyl Makarenko' if Vasyl Makarenko advances against Tomas Lanik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Lanik vs Makarenko match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, and traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions to profit from correctly anticipating the result. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is derived directly from the share price.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lanik vs Makarenko match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved using commonly accepted tennis rules and procedures. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final, verified outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location might also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price swings. As the match approaches, any updates on player strategies or head-to-head records are likely to be closely watched and reflected in the market price.