TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofyan Elnaqa and Haiyi Qin in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofyan Elnaqa' if Sofyan Elnaqa advances against Haiyi Qin. This market will resolve to 'Haiyi Qin' if Haiyi Qin advances against Sofyan Elnaqa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofyan Elnaqa and Haiyi Qin in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofyan Elnaqa' if Sofyan Elnaqa advances against Haiyi Qin. This market will resolve to 'Haiyi Qin' if Haiyi Qin advances against Sofyan Elnaqa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, constantly updating as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates all available information.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Sofyan Elnaqa and Haiyi Qin. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official tournament results and sports news outlets as the resolution date approaches to understand the likely outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also impact perceptions of player momentum and confidence. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by social media discussion or expert analysis, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on changing market conditions before Oct 19, 2026.