TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sil Hollemans and Tommaso Padovan in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sil Hollemans' if Sil Hollemans advances against Tommaso Padovan. This market will resolve to 'Tommaso Padovan' if Tommaso Padovan advances against Sil Hollemans. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sil Hollemans and Tommaso Padovan in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sil Hollemans' if Sil Hollemans advances against Tommaso Padovan. This market will resolve to 'Tommaso Padovan' if Tommaso Padovan advances against Sil Hollemans. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market's liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly and efficiently prices adjust to new information. This dynamic pricing process aims to create a highly accurate forecast of the event's result.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Sil Hollemans and Tommaso Padovan. Any official announcements or results from the governing tennis body will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in the market's settlement.
Several signals or events could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament developments, may also lead to price adjustments. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could sway opinions and drive trading volume. Finally, large trades by influential market participants could create momentum and shift the probabilities reflected in the market price.