TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 10:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Saveliy Ivanov and Volodymyr Iakubenko in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saveliy Ivanov' if Saveliy Ivanov advances against Volodymyr Iakubenko. This market will resolve to 'Volodymyr Iakubenko' if Volodymyr Iakubenko advances against Saveliy Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Saveliy Ivanov and Volodymyr Iakubenko in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saveliy Ivanov' if Saveliy Ivanov advances against Volodymyr Iakubenko. This market will resolve to 'Volodymyr Iakubenko' if Volodymyr Iakubenko advances against Saveliy Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and developments that may not be immediately reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, with traders setting the odds based on their own research and analysis of the Ivanov vs Iakubenko match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Saveliy Ivanov and Volodymyr Iakubenko, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The outcome will be determined by which player wins the match, with any potential forfeits or defaults also considered in determining the final result. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is verified.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, head-to-head records, or even weather forecasts for Sharm ElSheikh could also cause price fluctuations. Major upsets in other related tournaments or surprising strategic decisions during the match itself are also likely to move the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.