TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Saveliy Ivanov and Jan Sadzik in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saveliy Ivanov' if Saveliy Ivanov advances against Jan Sadzik. This market will resolve to 'Jan Sadzik' if Jan Sadzik advances against Saveliy Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Saveliy Ivanov and Jan Sadzik in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saveliy Ivanov' if Saveliy Ivanov advances against Jan Sadzik. This market will resolve to 'Jan Sadzik' if Jan Sadzik advances against Saveliy Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome of the Ivanov vs Sadzik match. These differences can be particularly noticeable as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ivanov vs Sadzik match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changes in sentiment and available data, providing a real-time assessment of the event's probability.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Ivanov vs Sadzik match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the event. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome. It’s important to monitor official sources for the definitive result, as this will be the basis for settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Saveliy Ivanov or Jan Sadzik could also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, significant bets placed by well-known or respected traders could trigger a cascade effect, causing the market to move rapidly in a particular direction. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations.