TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 7:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Saveliy Ivanov and Anton Arzhankin in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saveliy Ivanov' if Saveliy Ivanov advances against Anton Arzhankin. This market will resolve to 'Anton Arzhankin' if Anton Arzhankin advances against Saveliy Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Saveliy Ivanov and Anton Arzhankin in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saveliy Ivanov' if Saveliy Ivanov advances against Anton Arzhankin. This market will resolve to 'Anton Arzhankin' if Anton Arzhankin advances against Saveliy Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective insights of many traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market, where odds adjust continuously with each trade. It’s common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, but significant differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its shares will climb, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system that reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Saveliy Ivanov and Anton Arzhankin. The platform will rely on publicly available sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Saveliy Ivanov or Anton Arzhankin could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even broader trends in the tournament, might also play a role. Any significant information impacting the perceived likelihood of either player winning could cause noticeable movements in the odds and volume of this market.