TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 12:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ruslan Tiukaev and Melih Anavatan in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ruslan Tiukaev' if Ruslan Tiukaev advances against Melih Anavatan. This market will resolve to 'Melih Anavatan' if Melih Anavatan advances against Ruslan Tiukaev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ruslan Tiukaev and Melih Anavatan in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ruslan Tiukaev' if Ruslan Tiukaev advances against Melih Anavatan. This market will resolve to 'Melih Anavatan' if Melih Anavatan advances against Ruslan Tiukaev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. If there is a significant discrepancy between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. It's a comparison of collective intelligence versus professional oddsmaking.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Tiukaev vs Anavatan match, and the price of these shares reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tiukaev vs Anavatan match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be settled. It’s important to note that the platform relies on publicly available data for resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Ruslan Tiukaev or Melih Anavatan, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in fight strategy or training reports could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, general news related to the M15 Sharm ElSheikh event, or even broader trends in the sport, could shift the probabilities. Unexpected announcements or developments leading up to Oct 28, 2026 are all potential catalysts for market movement.