TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rihards Neimanis and Jozef Karas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rihards Neimanis' if Rihards Neimanis advances against Jozef Karas. This market will resolve to 'Jozef Karas' if Jozef Karas advances against Rihards Neimanis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rihards Neimanis and Jozef Karas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rihards Neimanis' if Rihards Neimanis advances against Jozef Karas. This market will resolve to 'Jozef Karas' if Jozef Karas advances against Rihards Neimanis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Neimanis vs Karas match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Rihards Neimanis and Jozef Karas. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also affect perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, significant betting activity on traditional sportsbooks could draw attention and influence trading behavior on Polymarket. Even broader tennis news or upsets in the tournament could indirectly impact this market, as traders adjust their expectations based on the evolving landscape.