TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Raul Clarijs and Daniil Stepanov in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raul Clarijs' if Raul Clarijs advances against Daniil Stepanov. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Stepanov' if Daniil Stepanov advances against Raul Clarijs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Raul Clarijs and Daniil Stepanov in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raul Clarijs' if Raul Clarijs advances against Daniil Stepanov. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Stepanov' if Daniil Stepanov advances against Raul Clarijs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and their own risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the match outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life, as information and opinions evolve. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the potential result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants and provides a real-time assessment of expectations for the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Raul Clarijs and Daniil Stepanov. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament results and sports news outlets. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or the release of expert analysis could trigger price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Oct 25, 2026 resolution.