TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rasheed Bashir and Finn Reilly in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rasheed Bashir' if Rasheed Bashir advances against Finn Reilly. This market will resolve to 'Finn Reilly' if Finn Reilly advances against Rasheed Bashir. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rasheed Bashir and Finn Reilly in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rasheed Bashir' if Rasheed Bashir advances against Finn Reilly. This market will resolve to 'Finn Reilly' if Finn Reilly advances against Rasheed Bashir. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each player winning. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders reacting to news, analysis, and their own assessments of the match. This creates a dynamic and evolving market that attempts to accurately forecast the result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Rasheed Bashir and Finn Reilly, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the winner, and payouts will be distributed to traders holding shares in the winning outcome. The outcome will be determined by the official scoreline of the match, as recorded by the tournament organizers.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements about player strategy or coaching changes could also move the market. Furthermore, general tennis news and analysis, as well as public sentiment, can all play a role in shaping trader behavior and impacting the price of shares. A strong showing by either player in a preceding match could also significantly alter the probabilities reflected in this market.