TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 10:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Paul Roeder and S Mert Ozdemir in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul Roeder' if Paul Roeder advances against S Mert Ozdemir. This market will resolve to 'S Mert Ozdemir' if S Mert Ozdemir advances against Paul Roeder. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Paul Roeder and S Mert Ozdemir in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul Roeder' if Paul Roeder advances against S Mert Ozdemir. This market will resolve to 'S Mert Ozdemir' if S Mert Ozdemir advances against Paul Roeder. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions are correct. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Paul Roeder and S Mert Ozdemir, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market odds at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Updates on the players’ recent performance in other tournaments, or even weather forecasts for Sharm ElSheikh, could also play a role. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or any controversies surrounding the players could also lead to price movements. Essentially, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely impact the market.