TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Paul Jubb and Fares Zakaria in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul Jubb' if Paul Jubb advances against Fares Zakaria. This market will resolve to 'Fares Zakaria' if Fares Zakaria advances against Paul Jubb. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Paul Jubb and Fares Zakaria in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul Jubb' if Paul Jubb advances against Fares Zakaria. This market will resolve to 'Fares Zakaria' if Fares Zakaria advances against Paul Jubb. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts based on real-time information and the wisdom of the crowd. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, reflecting differing opinions and information availability.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Paul Jubb and Fares Zakaria. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament results and sports news outlets. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts at the tournament location could also play a role, as could updates on the players' head-to-head record or recent performance in similar tournaments. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting trends from other sources, might also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move this market.