TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oskari Eerola and Sacha Bouillard in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oskari Eerola' if Oskari Eerola advances against Sacha Bouillard. This market will resolve to 'Sacha Bouillard' if Sacha Bouillard advances against Oskari Eerola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oskari Eerola and Sacha Bouillard in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oskari Eerola' if Oskari Eerola advances against Sacha Bouillard. This market will resolve to 'Sacha Bouillard' if Sacha Bouillard advances against Oskari Eerola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can be a useful exercise when forming your own opinion on the likely outcome of the Eerola vs Bouillard match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Oskari Eerola and Sacha Bouillard. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant bets placed by large traders on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring news sources and observing trading activity on the platform will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market.