TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 2:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oskari Eerola and Oleg Syrovatskiy in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oskari Eerola' if Oskari Eerola advances against Oleg Syrovatskiy. This market will resolve to 'Oleg Syrovatskiy' if Oleg Syrovatskiy advances against Oskari Eerola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oskari Eerola and Oleg Syrovatskiy in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oskari Eerola' if Oskari Eerola advances against Oleg Syrovatskiy. This market will resolve to 'Oleg Syrovatskiy' if Oleg Syrovatskiy advances against Oskari Eerola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by collective prediction, can sometimes offer more favorable odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different information sources – sportsbooks rely on analysts and algorithms, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions and risk assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by supply and demand; if more people believe Oskari Eerola will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Oskari Eerola and Oleg Syrovatskiy. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the winner of the match, as reported by these trusted sources, and shares will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially favoring one player's style of play over another. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate a change in market sentiment and drive price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players' chances of winning could impact this market.