TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Omar Kandil and Bogdan Seleznev in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Omar Kandil' if Omar Kandil advances against Bogdan Seleznev. This market will resolve to 'Bogdan Seleznev' if Bogdan Seleznev advances against Omar Kandil. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Omar Kandil and Bogdan Seleznev in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Omar Kandil' if Omar Kandil advances against Bogdan Seleznev. This market will resolve to 'Bogdan Seleznev' if Bogdan Seleznev advances against Omar Kandil. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, you may find that the odds on Polymarket differ from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Omar Kandil and Bogdan Seleznev, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market’s settlement, determining which shares pay out and which do not. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.