TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 6:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Niklas Waldner and Mikhail Khodorchenko in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niklas Waldner' if Niklas Waldner advances against Mikhail Khodorchenko. This market will resolve to 'Mikhail Khodorchenko' if Mikhail Khodorchenko advances against Niklas Waldner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Niklas Waldner and Mikhail Khodorchenko in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niklas Waldner' if Niklas Waldner advances against Mikhail Khodorchenko. This market will resolve to 'Mikhail Khodorchenko' if Mikhail Khodorchenko advances against Niklas Waldner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or differing risk assessments. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on new information and analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion shifts, and can be a useful comparison point when evaluating potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregate sentiment. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price will climb, indicating increased confidence in that result. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Niklas Waldner versus Mikhail Khodorchenko table tennis match. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the final payout for this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as the resolution approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injuries, or changes in their training regimens could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also affect perceptions of player form. Additionally, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Public analysis and expert opinions on the players’ chances could also contribute to movement in this market.