TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Niklas Waldner vs Luca Ugel
polymarket

What is the result of Niklas Waldner vs Luca Ugel?

Volume:
N/A

M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Niklas Waldner vs Luca Ugel

 - Polymarket

M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Niklas Waldner vs Luca Ugel - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 8:03 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Niklas Waldner vs Luca Ugel

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Niklas Waldner vs Luca Ugel Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Niklas Waldner vs Luca Ugel Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Niklas Waldner and Luca Ugel in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niklas Waldner' if Niklas Waldner advances against Luca Ugel. This market will resolve to 'Luca Ugel' if Luca Ugel advances against Niklas Waldner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Niklas Waldner and Luca Ugel in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niklas Waldner' if Niklas Waldner advances against Luca Ugel. This market will resolve to 'Luca Ugel' if Luca Ugel advances against Niklas Waldner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect a different set of information and incentives than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Analysts often compare these odds to gauge market confidence and identify potential discrepancies, but it’s important to remember that each represents a unique perspective on the event.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a growing expectation of its likelihood. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Niklas Waldner versus Luca Ugel match, as reported by the governing body for table tennis. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.

Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 25, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing style could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also shift expectations. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions. Any significant development related to either player’s preparation or performance has the potential to cause price fluctuations.