TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 7:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Niklas Waldner and Daniil Stepanov in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niklas Waldner' if Niklas Waldner advances against Daniil Stepanov. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Stepanov' if Daniil Stepanov advances against Niklas Waldner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Niklas Waldner and Daniil Stepanov in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niklas Waldner' if Niklas Waldner advances against Daniil Stepanov. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Stepanov' if Daniil Stepanov advances against Niklas Waldner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of market efficiency. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially for niche events.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that as more people bet on one outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of the event's potential results, driven by the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Niklas Waldner and Daniil Stepanov. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner of the match, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injury reports, or changes in their competitive strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also affect perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, broader developments in the world of table tennis, such as changes in equipment or playing styles, might also play a role. These signals will be reflected in the trading volume and price movements within this market.