TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mousa Alkotop and Mustapha El Natour in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mousa Alkotop' if Mousa Alkotop advances against Mustapha El Natour. This market will resolve to 'Mustapha El Natour' if Mustapha El Natour advances against Mousa Alkotop. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mousa Alkotop and Mustapha El Natour in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mousa Alkotop' if Mousa Alkotop advances against Mustapha El Natour. This market will resolve to 'Mustapha El Natour' if Mustapha El Natour advances against Mousa Alkotop. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that as more people believe a particular player will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a constantly updated forecast of the match’s result. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Mousa Alkotop and Mustapha El Natour, as declared by the tournament organizers. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially recorded as the winner of the match, and this information will be sourced from trusted sports news outlets and official tournament websites. The platform will then finalize the market based on this verified result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in market perception. Monitoring these signals and the overall trading activity on Polymarket will provide insights into how the market is reacting to evolving circumstances.