TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Moritz Kolbe and Tamas Belafalvi-Balint in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moritz Kolbe' if Moritz Kolbe advances against Tamas Belafalvi-Balint. This market will resolve to 'Tamas Belafalvi-Balint' if Tamas Belafalvi-Balint advances against Moritz Kolbe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Moritz Kolbe and Tamas Belafalvi-Balint in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moritz Kolbe' if Moritz Kolbe advances against Tamas Belafalvi-Balint. This market will resolve to 'Tamas Belafalvi-Balint' if Tamas Belafalvi-Balint advances against Moritz Kolbe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome of the Kolbe vs Belafalvi-Balint match. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the value lies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kolbe vs Belafalvi-Balint match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards a consensus view. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, offering a unique perspective compared to traditional betting options.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kolbe vs Belafalvi-Balint match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match statistics for either Kolbe or Belafalvi-Balint could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, can impact trading activity and subsequently move the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.