TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Moritz Kolbe and Marwan Ehab in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moritz Kolbe' if Moritz Kolbe advances against Marwan Ehab. This market will resolve to 'Marwan Ehab' if Marwan Ehab advances against Moritz Kolbe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Moritz Kolbe and Marwan Ehab in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moritz Kolbe' if Moritz Kolbe advances against Marwan Ehab. This market will resolve to 'Marwan Ehab' if Marwan Ehab advances against Moritz Kolbe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probabilities as assessed by traders. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market potentially offering more favorable odds if there's strong disagreement between the crowd's prediction and the sportsbook's initial assessment. It's important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe Moritz Kolbe will win, the higher the price of shares representing his victory will climb, and vice-versa for Marwan Ehab. This dynamic pricing ensures the market odds are constantly updated based on the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Moritz Kolbe and Marwan Ehab, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome – a win for Kolbe or Ehab – is the correct one for settling this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Moritz Kolbe or Marwan Ehab, or changes in playing conditions (like weather) could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one, or even expert analysis predicting a change in momentum, could also cause the market to move. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each player’s chances of winning the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match has the potential to impact trading activity.